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Holiday 2020 Sales Predictions - PS5 & XSX to Set Launch Records, Switch Best-Selling Console

Holiday 2020 Sales Predictions - PS5 & XSX to Set Launch Records, Switch Best-Selling Console - Sales

by William D'Angelo , posted on 03 January 2021 / 6,420 Views

Now that we are in November the holiday shopping season is slowly starting up, but will take off next week with the launch of the next-generation consoles, the Xbox Series X and PlayStation 5, as well as the release of several highly-anticipated AAA titles. 

In this article, I (William D'Angelo) will be revealing my predictions for the 2020 holiday season.

The PlayStation 5 will set the record for the biggest launch in video game history, while the Xbox Series X and S will take second place for the biggest launch. 

The PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X and S will be sold out through the holiday season and will have strong demand through at least early 2021. 

Holiday 2020 Sales Predictions - PS5 and Xbox Series X|S to Set Launch Records, Switch Best-Selling Console

The Nintendo Switch will be the best-selling console for the holiday season with sales of over 10 million units in November and December combined.

Due to such strong sales, the Switch will outsell the lifetime sales of the Nintendo 3DS, which has sold just under 76 million units. 

Lifetime PlayStation 4 sales will just miss outselling the Game Boy, which sold 118.69 million units lifetime. However, the PS4 will surpass the Game Boy in early 2021. 

Lifetime Xbox One sales will surpass the SNES by the end of November, while it has a decent chance of crossing the 50 million mark before the end of December.

Call of Duty will once again take the crown for the best-selling game with the release of Call of Duty: Black Ops Cold War on November 13.

Cyberpunk 2077, despite all the delays, will be the second-bestselling game this holiday season.

Cyberpunk 2077 Sales Prediction

The number of people subscribed to Xbox Game Pass and other subscription services will continue to grow to new records. Xbox Game Game Pass, which recently surpassed 15 million subscribers, will top 20 million with a chance to reach 25 million. 

Stay tuned to VGChartz as we release our hardware sales estimates for the Xbox Series X and S, and PlayStation 5, and report on all official software sales. 

A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel dedicated to gaming Let's Plays and tutorials. You can contact the author at or on Twitter @TrunksWD.

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YanisFromFrance (on 02 November 2020)

I personally believe, the Nintendo Switch will be the best-selling console between 2020 and 2022 before giving way to the PS5.

  • +12
siebensus4 (on 03 November 2020)

I completely agree with your thoughts.

  • +7
UnderwaterFunktown (on 02 November 2020)

I assume by biggest launch you mean launch week specifically? If so I agree with pretty much everything here.

  • +5
trunkswd UnderwaterFunktown (on 02 November 2020)

Yes, launch week.

  • +2
xMetroid (on 03 November 2020)

I think Switch can manage to sell more then 10 million units between Nov-Dec this year. Maybe like 11-12 actually.

  • +4
UnderwaterFunktown xMetroid (on 04 November 2020)

It's gonna be very difficult to ship enough Switches for that, but we'll see.

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AFattyGamer (on 02 November 2020)


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NextGen_Gamer (on 03 November 2020)

Totally agree. One question for VGChartz and others: how long do you expect MS to keep the Xbox One S in circulation? Almost right after they announced the Xbox Series X at $499, they discontinued the Xbox One X (also still MSRP $499) - which makes total sense. But now, the Xbox Series S/Xbox One S are also still technically the same MSRP $299 (I realize most retailers sell the One S below that already though). Does it make any sense to keep the One S around after this year? Just have a fire-sale at $199 for Black Friday and let the stock run out?

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2zosteven (on 03 November 2020)

I'm sure the PS5 and Series X/S will both completely sell out at launch and whoever can get the most inventory out will set the record?

  • 0
EpicRandy (on 02 November 2020)

I'm predicting 20m Game Pass subs on or shortly after Black Friday and 25M by the end of the year.

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YanisFromFrance (on 02 November 2020)

For once in France sales of Nintendo Switch / PS5 and XSX are screwed up. France has decided to stop sales of video games during our 4-week lockdown

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SuperNintend0rk YanisFromFrance (on 02 November 2020)

Damn that sucks! I assume it's just retail sales that they've stopped so at least you can still buy them online.

  • +2
heavenmercenary01 YanisFromFrance (on 03 November 2020)

Only retail, Still being sold online. It will be fine since consoles did extremely well during the lockdown of march. Stocks were the issue which won't be a problem this time.

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ReclusiveExclusive (on 02 November 2020)
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SKMBlake (on 02 November 2020)
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Amnesia (on 02 November 2020)
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