Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter has predicted the PlayStation 4 will outsell the Xbox One. The main reason is the price difference and that gamers have no interest in the Kinect.
Pachter said at the London Games Conference, attended by MCVUK, that he believes the PlayStation 4 will sell between 100 million and 120 million units lifetime. He expects the Xbox One to fall short of those figures and sell between 90 million and 110 million units lifetime. He also added that the Wii U will sell 30 million units lifetime.
Pachter did add that if Microsoft drops the price of the Xbox One to match the PlayStation 4 sales may be tied. Also if TV services offer a subsidy on the Xbox One that may help drive sales of the console.
Pachter believes that this is the last console generation and the market will reach an install base between 220 million and 260 million units. To compare, the Wii, Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3 have sold 260 million units to date combined according to VGChartz.
"I don't think the console market will get any bigger," said Pachter. "The console installed base has peaked. Consoles may not be relevant in 10 years."
"We have expanded the market beyond the hardcore console owner," he added. "We now have ten times the audience over the internet, six times the audience over mobile. And I think one day you'll get to play any game, anywhere on any device."