Analysts Positive About Wii U Launch, Questions About Its Future

by William D'Angelo, posted on 14 September 2012 / 7,265 Views

Nintendo has finally announced the release date of its next generation console, the Wii U, as well as its price. Several analysts, speaking with Games Industry international, give their opinion on Nintendo's new console. Overall reaction was positive and the pricing system appears to be in line with what was expected. However there are still questions about the consoles future beyond its launch period.

Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter, who has been skeptical about the Wii U since it was first announced, seemed rather positive for the launch period. "I think that the price points make sense, particularly since I think that the console will be sold out through March...I thought the launch lineup was very strong, and third party support was pretty impressive."

Pachter feels the Wii U will be sold out until about March, in which the console will have sold seven million units. However he feels unlike with the Wii which was at its launch price point for three and a half years, that the Wii U will get a price cut before holiday 2013, due to heavier competition, mainly from the tablet market.

DFC Intelligence analyst David Cole believes that the price is a little high, and he originally thought that the Deluxe set would cost be the only one and be priced at $299, not $349. He agrees with Pachter that the price will drop next year. "I would have liked to see $300 with a bundle; however, I think there is room to capitalize on early adopter interest and drop the price next year," Cole said.

Cole does feel that the launch period will see strong sales. "In terms of launch, Nintendo has a pretty strong fan base to snap up initial inventory and the real issue is not this holiday season but 2013 and beyond...The real issue is whether Nintendo will be able to attract some of the more casual Wii purchasers who may have moved on to tablets and other devices. However, those consumers are not the ones being targeted this year. This year it is more about core gamers and there could easily be shortages."

Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia was not shocked by the Wii U pricing, but was surprised by how strong the launch lineup is. "The title lineup does look stronger than we had expected. Overall, we believe investor expectations are fairly low and as such there could be upside. We expect Wii U to sell 1 million units in North America this holiday season, which is flat versus the Wii launch in 2006."

EEDAR analyst Jesse Divnich like the others was not surprised with the price and is not impressed with the launch lineup. He doesn't believes that core gamers will pick up the Wii U. "I know developers are hard at work to ensure their multi-platform games have unique features exclusive to the Wii U, but I expect this is unlikely to persuade core gamers to purchase a Wii U just for a few minor exclusive features."

Divnich does believes that "Nintendo will push the boundaries of interactive entertainment on the Wii U. "Nintendo has always been a guiding light of creativity to the rest of the industry." However he feels that third party support is key to the future success of the Wii U. "Overall, I feel the Wii U is a step in the right direction for Nintendo, but the company is under far more pressure to succeed than ever before."

RW Baird analyst Colin Sebastian, like the other analysts thinks the Wii U will have a strong launch this holiday, however he is not sure if the console will be a hit yet. "One of my lingering concerns is that it is not obvious to me what the 'killer app' will be, which would help drive momentum into next year."

TechSavvy Global analyst Scott Steinberg thinks that the Wii U price is a good value, though Nintendo could have been more aggressive. "I don't think it's going to be quite as much of a breakout success as the Wii, only because it's become a much tougher retail market. There's a lot more competition from smartphones, tablets and other devices."

Overall opinions seems to be similar. The Wii U will sell well during its launch period, but many questions remain beyond that point. All the analysts were in agreement that while the TVii is a nice feature, it is not a system seller.


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6 Comments

sethnintendo (on 14 September 2012)

I have no problem with soccer moms taking over this system. It only means more systems sold. If they didn't then I would expect GameCube sales.


cunger (on 14 September 2012)

I expect 3ds sales. Gamecube had poor sales cuz it had no where near the 3rd party support the Wiiu is receiving. The Wii was so popular with casual games that Nintendo go lazy and took sales for granted. They know that with this generation have have to fight hard to deliver content for people who actual play games.


  • -1
oniyide (on 14 September 2012)

As long as i get more GC games and less Wii ones i have no problem with WIi U not selling like hot cakes, IMHO


  • -4
Nem (on 15 September 2012)

Oh wait... so they are no longer singing the Wii U is doomed tune? Just the, its gonna work for now but later it will be doomed? Love how analysts can just go back and change their predictions like nothing happened.


enrageorange (on 15 September 2012)

huh they are reporting their predictions based on finally getting info on the wii u's launch. It has a very impressive launch lineup and a reasonable price and so they are predicting good initial sales. The doom and gloom posts were if the price was too high or if it had an awful launch lineup(like the 3ds) launch).


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prayformojo (on 16 September 2012)

It's funny how this generation of gamers defend Nintendo. I am 33, and I remember the Gamecube era being totally different.


Nintendo-Europe (on 16 September 2012)

It is funny how things could be very different in Europe; the Nintendo Gamecube era that I remember was not so different than the Wii one. Third parties ignore the Wii nearly like they ignored the Nintendo Gamecube, Wii has just a litlle more types of Nintendo Games than Nintendo Gamecube had, and we tried to introduce Video Game at the general public although it was very harder…


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prayformojo (on 16 September 2012)

Yes, but I'm not talking about sales or software. I'm talking about gamer popularity. The PS2 and Xbox were considered cool and Nintendo was considered "kiddy". Mario Sunshine was a laughing stock on message boards. Most people were saying Nintendo should pull a Sega etc. Now everyone acts like Nintendo walks on water, that they have always been number one. It's humorous.


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Comments below voting threshold

cunger (on 14 September 2012)

As Nintendo fan I personally hope it is not a breakout success with casual games. I am hoping for more modest 3ds like sales to people who actually enjoy playing video games. The worst thing that could happen is that soccer moms take this system over like they did the wii. Thankfully i don't expect that to happen. The wiiu with end up selling somewhere between the Wiiu and Gamecube and be a much more well balanced system than the wii was. I'm thinking 60 million sold in 6 years.


oniyide (on 14 September 2012)

i thought i was the only one


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cusman (on 16 September 2012)

The Wii success was due to the casual base it created and it cost Nintendo a lot of core gamers migrating. As much as it sucked for those single system mentality core gamers... they weren't left without other options and are hopefully multi-platform mentality going forward. I mean as much as they can afford to...


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usrevenge (on 14 September 2012)

-1 controller, with no sales of the gamepad controller separately ( hope you kids don't break it or have a friend without a wiiu) -few good games, no, new super mario brothers isn't a system seller -seems like online will be meh, better then wii at least, but that isn't saying much -weak graphical capabilities. other then the fanboys, don't see this doing well to "recapture the hardcore gaming"


fedfed (on 15 September 2012)

of course they will start to sell separate gamepad controller


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JRock3x8 (on 14 September 2012)

the last line is the best line "not a system seller" - there is no system seller for this thing at launch.


sethnintendo (on 14 September 2012)

New Super Mario Bros U isn't a system seller? Okay


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cunger (on 14 September 2012)

Well whatever their doing is working. Pre-orders will be sold out by the end of the day from the sounds of it.


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cunger (on 14 September 2012)

Well whatever their doing is working. Pre-orders will be sold out by the end of the day from the sounds of it.


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Vinniegambini (on 14 September 2012)

In the veins of Antoine Dodson: ''You are so dumb, you are really dumb''


  • +3
usrevenge (on 14 September 2012)

this is nintendo charts please don't say anything bad about nintendo because the fanboys will rage.


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BluGamer23 (on 14 September 2012)

@usrevenge just like the 360/ps3 ranging and crying over bayonetta2 o wait thats worse ..


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