NPD Analyst: Switch to Outsell PS4 and Xbox One in the US in 2019 - News
by William D'Angelo , posted on 01 March 2019 / 4,682 Views
NPD analyst Mat Piscatella has predicted the Nintendo Switch will outsell the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One in 2019 in the US. The growth in gaming will also not be like it was in 2018 as the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One are expected to decline in sales.
Piscatella said the Nintendo Switch will have more than a 35 percent marketshare in 2019. This will be driven by Pokémon and other key Nintendo franchise.
An interesting bit of information is that 86 percent of gaming content was sold digitally across platforms, including mobile for the 12 months ending September 30, 2018. That is expected to grow to 90 percent.
Check out all the predictions from Piscatella below:
A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel dedicated to gaming Let's Plays and tutorials. You can contact the author at wdangelo@vgchartz.com or on Twitter @TrunksWD.
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Not surprised, as PS4 and X1 are getting ready for next gen.
Crazy talk. If Nintendo places a Switch Pro correctly, this hardware line could compete with the DS line.
35 percent market share? C'mon, can't you at least predict above 40? How disappointing 35 percent would be.
Why down voting? We already hat 36 % in November: http://www.vgchartz.com/article/435139/switch-vs-ps4-vs-xbox-one-global-lifetime-salesnovember-2018/
Why down voting? We already had 36 % in November...
They're downvoting because they're not too bright and/or don't understand math.
If Switch outsells both PS4 and X1 and only has 35 percent marketshare, that means that it sold basically equal to both (35/33/32 or 35/34/31). That would not be a good result for Nintendo given how old its competition is.
Does it really require analysis? It should be clear to everyone that the PS4 and XB1 are at the end of their generation, but the switch is not even 2 years on the market. With the release of the PS5 and XB(2) in 2020 the tide will turn again. It is unlikely that Nintendo will counter this with an update (Switch Pro?) or new hardware.
The Switch NEEDS to be the best selling console in the world in 2019 by a large margin. If the console can't outsell the 5-6 year old PS4 that already has a massive install base this year Nintendo may have to readjust their predictions. This is the year for Nintendo to double down on their good start to the Switch's life and I think that if Nintendo have the games ready they could sell 20 million Switch consoles in the calendar year of 2019.
He truly is captain obvious. Switch almost outsold PS4 on 2018 and the most likely (99.999%) outcome for 2019 is PS4 to drop some 5-15% and Switch probably grow as much, so Switch outselling PS4 is almost a given and X1 don't even count in this.
I hope so, the PS4 is 5 years old with a massive install base of over 90 million Sony is running out of gamer's to sell their console to called market saturation
It is obvious Sony do not care. You can tell by not doing any sale on december. Ps4 is about to hit 90m and according to rumors, ps5 will be announced next year.
They said the same this year and the PS4 won America
Did it though? I'm seeing less than a 600,000 gap between the two according to this site with numbers updated only up to 12/8 in a month where it is being said the Switch outsold the PS4 by 1m.
90% of the expenditure will be digital? It seems that the physical market for sellers is about to be shaken and sales numbers will become increasingly more deductive while depending on the holders to be officially disclosed.
Including Mobile and PC, which are essentialy 100% digital.
Console still below 50%.
Bring on next gen, and wonder if the next pokemon will actually be any good.
It wouldnt be too surprising. Both ps4 and xbox one are entering their 6th year. Since when did a 6 year old nintendo console outsell a playstation home console in the same year?
In 2010 the 6 year old DS nearly doubled Sony’s current top selling console the PS3.
current to 2010, that is =P
I agree. His prediction is overly conservative and doesn't add up.
Essay Pro