Rumor: Nintendo Wants to Produce 20 Million Switch 2 Consoles This Fiscal Year - News
by William D'Angelo , posted on 22 May 2026 / 5,241 Views
Nintendo is reportedly looking to increase its production of the Nintendo Switch 2 this fiscal year by around to 20 percent to about 20 million consoles, according to people familiar with the matter speaking with Bloomberg.
The sources, that asked to not be named as the information is not public, say the number of units set to be produced is not final and it may be revised depending on demand.
Nintendo has forecasted that it would ship 16.50 million Switch 2 consoles for the fiscal year ending March 2027. However, the company has been conservative with its forecasts recently as it initially expected to ship 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its first fiscal year and ended up shipping 19.89 million consoles.
"For them, there is no real downside in lowballing numbers first and then surpassing them later," said Tokyo-based industry analyst Serkan Toto. "The just-finished fiscal year is a good example."
Nintendo is increasing the price of the Switch 2, which could potentially hurt sales.
The Switch 2 will first increase in price in Japan on May 25 from 49,980 yen to 59,980 yen, while it will increase in the rest of the world on September 1. In the US, it will increase from $449.99 to $499.99, while in Canada it will go up from $629.99 to $679.99, and in Europe from €469.99 to €499.99.
This should be treated as a rumor until an official announcement is made.
A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012 and taking over the hardware estimates in 2017. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel. You can follow the author on Bluesky.
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Nintendo better produce the remaining 3.5 million for Switch 1 !!
With AI data centers hogging all the RAM and memory parts, good luck. Every AI data center needs to be torn down and never rebuilt.
The Nintendo source likely wouldn't say this unless they already had nearly all the resources locked down
Nintendo is usually conservative with their forecast (currently at 16.50M) and revise them up (adding a few million) about half way through the year... So an internal 20M goal wouldn't be a moon shot
That may be the case for Switch 2 in its first year but they're not always conservative as we saw this past year with their Switch 1 numbers. They initially forecasted 5M last year then had to revise twice down to 4.5M and then to 4M and still fell short of that will 3.8M in the end.
Oh, I thought they meant an additional 20 million.
It sounds more like they are trying to get the resources. And they don't have them but they would lie to get them. Sounds like Sony is in a similar situation as their Fiscal predictions was basically "Whatever we can aquire"
Oh is a Takashi Mochizuki joint... you can totally ignore this whole story.
He he calm down it's corporation that you dislike, not AI. Anyways, doing something like this might increase their stock price a bit, but AI boom won't end until 2028. We are 10 years from any form of true intelligent software and it should be created by non profit not corporate overlords.
No, it's the corporation AND AI.
But what they created is not intelligence. So there's no way we're are using AI yet.
Close enough.
I was a critic of Mochizuki when he was posting things that were hurting Nintendo and I am not going to become a glazer now that his reports are pro-Nintendo. Dude is unreliable. A broken watch may be right twice a day but you shouldn't trust it most of the times.
Perhaps, but the source is not a reliable one. Have we forgotten that Takashi Mochizuki is the same analyst who claim NS2 production was cut following weak US performance in late-March?
This dude is a straight-up charlatan that jut invents numbers.
It's market manipulation. Many in the industry have come out debunking his claims time and time again. I'm surprised no lawsuits have been filed against him.
Yeah that's why I label anything from him as rumor at this point. Now Jason is the complete opposite. Most trustworthy journalist in gaming.
the two of them have written articles together and are held to the exact same journalistic standards. which is much higher at bloomberg than any gaming publication. You know they can't make shit up because the identities of the sources are always known to bloomberg's editorial team and they are vetted by bloomberg's legal team. And Bloomeberg doesn't let you publish a story based off only a single source.
Mochizuki is an journalist. Sometimes his articles include quotes by analysts but he is just reporting what the analyst says. that people can't tell the difference oor understand how journalism works makes all the hate he attrracts hard to take seriously. if he is reporting from an anonymous source, the claim comes from the sources not him.
Yeah, he's not reliable. Though even with the price increase I think Nintendo was still being conservative again with Switch 2 projections, so if they ship 20 million this FY it wouldn't shock me. I think 18 million is the least they'll do and 21 million the most.
If they have a strong game to go with Ocarina Remake, they can absolutely hit 20m even with that $50 price hike.
Possible but very difficult to achieve. At this point, Nintendo should probably go for it because 2027 and onward could be an even bigger nightmare.
Switch 2 hasn't had too many shortages, far easier to find than PS5 was for years. Shoot, even Switch was tougher to find in 2017 because Nintendo was taking a gamble after the failure of Wii U and the underperforming 3DS.
Switch 2 is more or less a lock to crack over 100 million units no matter how long it takes, so Nintendo needs to be ready.
16.5M sounds like a realistic forecast. Remove the Switch 2 launch sales bump but add two extra months and that’s probably where you would end up last FY.
It's not an uncommon thing to produce more units than you plan to ship.
Back up...
The only way that they can reach that number is with big releases, like Pokemon Main Line, Mario 3D, Legend of Zelda (that posible Ocarina of Time Remake can be the key), if Duskbloods is GOTY also can help in the goal.
I dont put Smash cause it seems is still in development and Animal Crossing there is no news for i can see.
And if GTA VI is also in Switch 2, that can really be the reason that 20 millions is a posibility, even with the price increase. But idk if Rockstar will do that.
I am 80% that rumor is not real, only a Nintendo Direct and big console sellers can make that rumor be a reality.
The only way?
They sold 20M on DK , Pokopia, and a MK game that everyone lost hype for immediately after release lol
I mean... you literally just listed three of the biggest console exclusives released over the past twelve months. And that's not even counting Pokémon Legends Z-A. It shouldn't be much of a surprise that NS2 hit 20M, especially with it being priced significantly below the competition (as far as base model is concerned).
Internet "hype" does not always reflect the real world. MKW never leaves the top three spots of the Nintendo eShop. (usually behind whatever recent Nintendo or Capcom release is current, and it stays in the top 3 after these games drop off). It's recently re-entered the top ten physical sales despite a hefty price tag, and it has sold better than Mario Kart 8 DX did at this point in its lifespan (9.22m for MK8DX in 1 year versus likely over 15m for World).
And I gotta say, when I play MKW Online, there are always a lot more players in every race, even accounting for the 24-racer cap in World versus the 12 racer cap in 8, and the Knockout Tours are almost always entirely filled with human racers.
Yeah. The hatred for that game was overblown, imo. I played it a lot. I liked it. I think it just got the hate it did because one, it was so different from what people have been playing since they were little kids an two, it was bare bones compared to MK8 DX. I think once they flesh everything out, add a lot more battle modes etc, people will warm up to it online and its rep will improve.
MK8 was pretty bare bones when it first came out, too, TBH. It only had a couple of battle modes and no battle mode maps. It also had a far smaller roster at launch. People forget that MK8DX in 2026 is the result of 12 years' worth of updates. Nintendo has already begun to flesh World out, and I much prefer the actual racing mechanics in World over 8. Plus, the Knockout Tours are great fun even in an introductory phase; I would like to see Nintendo expand upon them. And I would like for them to eventually open up the open world driving more and allow people to drop in and out of it, making it a more Forza Horizon-like experience.
I meant when it came out on Switch. It was far more robust than the Wii-U original. And since most kids never even played the original, there is now a whole generation that thinks that's what MK should be at launch.
I do get what you're saying. That said, I did first play MK8 on Wii U, and it was very rudimentary and was called a step down from MK7. And then people complained for a long time because we never got a dedicated Mario Kart on Switch. MK8DX's success was because it was turned into a platform rather than just a game, kind of like Nintendo's Fortnite or Roblox, but again, that platform was the result of years of updates.
8DX also benefitted, ironically, from the Wii U's short lifespan. which meant that it wasn't barebones on the Switch because at that point, it already had three years of development behind it. Nintendo wanted to get its money's worth out of MK8 and figured that since the Wii U had flopped, they could get away with just moving MK8 to the Switch. 70-odd million units later, it's clear that they were correct. :)
I agree with everything you said. I think that's partly why MKW got some heat. People actually think the Switch port was how it's suppose to be. In short, they were spoiled. And they acted like it.
I mean, considering that Nintendo is selling it for $80 loose ($50 if you get it in the MKW bundle with the console), it's somewhat understandable that people would be mad about the idea of paying more for less (even though I don't really feel this game is "less" and in fact it has become one of my main online games). That said, I do agree with you that people need to pump the brakes. MKW is already getting updates and will only get more updates as time goes on. Nintendeen's "gloom and doom" for the game is quite overblown.
I am not saying ppl lost hype, what i mean is if they want to again reach that same numbers, they need another hits, MK is one of those big games, Pokopia and Tomodachi Life are big surpises and i am happy, DK maybe wont reach that lvl of hype in my opinion but was a great game no doubts.
For this year they need again big hits, also remember the hype of the first year of the console helped the console sales, now Nintendo has rised the prices and the novel fo the new console is gone, but i know the hype for new realeses is real and Swtich 2 and its games has shown they are still in the top of their game.
