PS4 and Xbox One vs PS3 and Xbox 360 - VGChartz Gap Charts – June 2019 Update - Sales
by William D'Angelo , posted on 05 August 2019 / 3,845 Views
The VGChartz Gap charts are updated monthly and each article focuses on a different gap chart. The charts include comparisons between the 7th generation and 8th generation platforms, as well as comparisons within the 8th generation. All sales are worldwide, unless otherwise stated.
This monthly series compares the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One with the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360.
The gap grew in favor of the combined sales PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 when compared to the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One in the last month by 567,870 units. In the last 12 months the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 have caught up by 5.59 million units. The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One lead by a combined 18.28 million units.
The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 in their first 68 months sold a combined 121.44 million units, while the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One have sold a combined 139.72 million units.
Gap change in latest month: 567,870 - PS3 & X360
Gap change over last 12 months: 5,585,291 – PS3 & X360
Total Lead: 18,279,937 – PS4 & XOne
Total Combined PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 Sales: 121,443,873
Total Combined PlayStation 4 and Xbox One Sales: 139,723,810
A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel dedicated to gaming Let's Plays and tutorials. You can contact the author at wdangelo@vgchartz.com or on Twitter @TrunksWD.
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PS4 carrying this generation
They will end up roughly at the same numbers in the end around ~175M. First 2 years of last gen were slow but they got a very strong tail end.
PS3 + 360 = 173.21m lifetime. PS4 + XBO will win. PS4 - 125m, XBO - 50m.
PS4 + XB1 = 182m minimum. There has been some population growth since generation 6, so the total should actually be higher than PS2 + XB. In generation 7, Sony and Microsoft lost some of their customers to the Wii which explains the lower total.
"Again you may not believe this sales after 2020 but see PS2, PS2 was selling between 7 and 15M after 2006"
I don't even nearly believe the sales prediction for this and next year. Even if they would cut the price to $199, they just lost too much steam already 2016 had a pristine holiday season for the PS4, catching up to the previous years again. But even then, it could only reach 17M - and it's already outselling 2019, and the gap grows wider each week.
You're comparing to the PS2 without the context: PS3 was way too expensive for most people early one, so they rather played on the PS2, especially if they didn't have HD TVs yet. And tons of casuals were playing the PS2 just for Singstar and/or Buzz. Neither will likely happen for the launch of the PS5, and thus the sales will drop much faster with the PS4.
Yeah, you can't make new lines in the first post, that only works for replies. Some technical bug they have to pinpoint and iron out.
You're not saying it will do 50M like the PS2... and then your first scenario is pretty much exactly that. Even your second one is way overblown. Only the third one really makes sense. You also forgot to take the inflation into account. $599 these days is much less hurtful as it was in 2006, and if the release price is $499, then there shouldn't even be a problem anymore.
Btw, the way PS4 sales are going, it will need a price cut just to reach those 14M this year. During the last 10 weeks PS4 lost an average of 66K per week compared to last year. It's lacking it's big releases from last year's September and October ( Spiderman, Tomb Raider, Assassin's Creed and RDR2), so it will bleed sales very fast during that period, doubly so as the Switch will steal it's thunder during that exact period.
As a result, by the end of October, without a pricecut the PS4 would already by behind the last year by the 4M it's allowed for the whole year before even BF or the holiday rush kick in. In other words, it would need a permanent $50 pricecut just to keep up somewhat with last year and reach 14M, and even with a $100 pricecut I don't see the PS4 make 18M anymore like in your best case scenario (though 16M could be possible).
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