Nintendo Plans to Make 25 Million to 30 Million Switch Consoles Next Fiscal Year

Nintendo Plans to Make 25 Million to 30 Million Switch Consoles Next Fiscal Year - News

by William D'Angelo, posted on 10 November 2017 / 5,236 Views

Nintendo is looking to ramp up the production of its Switch console to help keep up with the demand. 

The gaming giant has a plan to make between 25 million and 30 million Switch consoles in its next fiscal year, which starts April 2018.

 

The Switch has sold more than 2.6 million units in the US and more than two million units in Japan. As of September 30 Nintendo has shipped 7.63 million Switch consoles and recently increased its forecast to 14 million units shipped for the current fiscal year, which ends March 31, 2018. 

If Nintendo reaches its highest goal of 30 million units that would put Switch shipments at 44 million units by March 31, 2019 or in just over two years.

Thanks The Wall Street Journal.


A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel dedicated to gaming Let's Plays and tutorials. You can contact the author at wdangelo@vgchartz.com or on Twitter @TrunksWD.


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23 Comments

Goodnightmoon (on 10 November 2017)

Dead on arrival


Bofferbrauer2 (on 10 November 2017)

Yeah, I remember those too. But if the Switch was dead on arrival, what is it now? An unstoppable Juggernaut Zombie?


  • +9
OTBWY (on 11 November 2017)

"dead on arrival" should be interpreted as "leaving many dead behind on arrival", since the Switch has been killing it.


  • +6
Ultrashroomz (on 11 November 2017)

"Mark my words, this thing is bombing harder than the Wii U."


  • +2
ampersand (on 11 November 2017)

I just cannot believe it will bomb harder than the Wii U. Super Mario Odyssey alone will help is sell more than the Wii U.


  • 0
Ryng_Tolu (on 12 November 2017)

Super Mario Odyssey will outsell the Wii U lel


  • 0
PhatChips (on 10 November 2017)

So then, they would already beat the Xbone with sales.


monocle_layton (on 10 November 2017)

30 million?! Goddamn - Nintendo's looking wild right now


GhaudePhaede010 (on 10 November 2017)

With them entering China, that number makes sense.


monocle_layton (on 10 November 2017)

I'm just wondering if it'll do well. Do consoles even have a successful history in China? Feel like they'd need to make an MMO just to give it attention


  • +1
roadkillers (on 10 November 2017)

No consoles have been a complete failure in China. Consoles have only been allowed there for 2 years and with everyone on PC they need something big if they want to make an impact.


  • 0
roadkillers (on 10 November 2017)

No consoles have been a complete failure in China. Consoles have only been allowed there for 2 years and with everyone on PC they need something big if they want to make an impact.


  • 0
GhaudePhaede010 (on 10 November 2017)

I do not know if it will do well but they do have the most popular MOBA title in the world coming to Switch. I would consider that something big. I also think that estimating 8-10 million for China (which would up them from 15 million worldwide to 25 million worldwide) does make sense; even if the console is not a big hit in China.


  • 0
TheBraveGallade (on 10 November 2017)

It only needs to be a mild sucess for china to give a HUGE boost in switch sales.
A point towards the switch is that china is not a pc/home console freindly environment: more of a mobile one.


  • 0
TheSource (on 10 November 2017)

DS shipments were 30m+/year for three years in a row - if the Switch behaves more like DS than Wii that is a good estimate on the ceiling. Wii peak was 26m/year.


Ggordon (on 10 November 2017)

I believe they will hit their goal


Kristof81 (on 10 November 2017)

That's Wii numbers they're talking. Impressive


DirtyP2002 (on 10 November 2017)

That would beat PS4s best year yet by 10 million units. I remain skeptical.


StriderKiwi (on 10 November 2017)

That's 25 to 30 million Switches sold in 2018.


  • -7
Random_Matt (on 10 November 2017)

Depends where you live, UK never has stock issues.


  • +3
Goodnightmoon (on 10 November 2017)

They won't have the stock issues next year, simple as that.


  • +1
Teflon02 (on 10 November 2017)

Toronto canada has no isssue as far as I'm aware. Still mario bundles in every EB games I've walked into.
But make is entirely different. Say for example. Xbox One made 25 million consoles the first year. But still ssold the same. Now they have a bunch sitting around waiting to be shipped at later dates. Probably will try ship them out at deals and so on at christmas just to make the money back. I think 20 million will be about right. 25 seems more than it will be, They don't have mario and Zelda next year which are basically the 2 that create that kinda jump. Smash is probably the only other one that can make it jump enough for that


  • 0
V-r0cK (on 10 November 2017)

Guess no new model coming anytime soon :(


PAOerfulone (on 10 November 2017)

It's entirely possible that a new model could be a reason why they project numbers so high.


  • +3
V-r0cK (on 10 November 2017)

You've given me hope :)


  • +2
Kanemaru (on 11 November 2017)

They really do get cocky just because that Zelda crap helped them to make fanboys buy this console that is actually worse than the wiiu.


teamsilent13 (on 11 November 2017)

I might actually buy a switch if Metroid Prime 4 is innovative enough.


Otter (on 11 November 2017)

Pokemon and a new SKU is coming.


KLAMarine (on 11 November 2017)

Artificial sales.


TheBraveGallade (on 10 November 2017)

If pokemon magages to boom in china even this might be supply constrained... but thats a big if.


FujiokaMidori (on 10 November 2017)

They should just make one quadrillion.


ampersand (on 10 November 2017)

If they sell 25-30 million units, it will be their biggest hardware year ever. China has to be in play here.


PAOerfulone (on 10 November 2017)

That's peak DS numbers they're talking about. They must have a hardware revision and/or a fantastic 2nd year line up if they're planning on making that many.


NoirSon (on 10 November 2017)

Big numbers and potential gamble. However if they are still having difficulties meeting the demand in Japan and if the rumors about China are accurate, it makes sense. I wish them well, I am enjoying my system immensely.


konkari (on 10 November 2017)

Maybe they meant 30 million by end of fiscal year 2018. Not IN fiscal year2018.


Bofferbrauer2 (on 10 November 2017)

While 30 Million consoles in one year is pretty much unheard of, 25-30M by end of next fiscal year would be a very low outlook, as the console will be already at around 17M when the fiscal year starts - and this despite heavy supply constraints in many regions.


  • +3
Azuren (on 10 November 2017)

I hope they're not overshooting themselves. I can't speak for the rest of the world, but my store's Switch sales have does significantly since supply caught up with demand. It'd be a shame if they manufactured all of those and Switch turned out to be frontloaded.


Jranation (on 10 November 2017)

They wouldnt say that without a reason. Obviously they know something more than we do.


  • +2
Azuren (on 10 November 2017)

Obviously, but I'm trying to keep things in perspective, too. This is the company that thought the Wii U would be a hit, after all.


  • +1
Jranation (on 10 November 2017)

Dw.... 1 of them already died...... new leader took the crown and look what happened


  • +2
Azuren (on 10 November 2017)

Depressing to think that it was Iwata holding them back.


  • +1
KLAMarine (on 11 November 2017)

"but my store's Switch sales have does significantly since supply caught up with demand"

pardon?


  • +2
Azuren (on 11 November 2017)

Dropped* significantly, thanks for the catch.


  • 0

Comments below voting threshold

Valcristo (on 10 November 2017)

I was thinking they will never reach 40 millions. Im still think that, let see what comes next.


Ryng_Tolu (on 11 November 2017)

Dude, no offense, but is time to wake up LOL


  • +8
Flilix (on 11 November 2017)

40M is very low, they're aiming at 14M this year alone.


  • +5
Goodnightmoon (on 11 November 2017)

You are still thinking that? LMFAO Some people chose to be blind I guess


  • +4
Valcristo (on 13 November 2017)

Well, i remember that Wii U starts very hard too... With lees third parties support the next year, Switch maybe lose a great number of customers. I look at it like a tablet more than a console, and this market is full of options.

But, maybe with Chine market opened i making a mistake.


  • 0
BraLoD (on 10 November 2017)

Seems like it's already hitting their heads. Shooting production for 30M after the first year with around 15M in sales? Just why? If things go that well next year speed it up gradually, already planning it is just asking for things to backfire...


  • -18
Jranation (on 10 November 2017)

They probably have a lineup that will sell close to that. Pokemon and AC in 2018 is sounding more true.


  • +12
Flilix (on 11 November 2017)

They're definitely not doing it without a good reason.


  • +11
Green098 (on 11 November 2017)

They did the exact same thing with the DS and look how that turned. Why shouldn't they do the same for the Switch?


  • +9
Ryng_Tolu (on 11 November 2017)

Why are you even look at first year sales? It literally mean nothing since the only reason they didn't sold/ship more is because stock issue.

2017 could have been as well a 25-30 million year, but with stock issue they won't go over 15-16 million this year, expecially since they first expect to do only 10 million.

Not only that, but demand for this year could have been "only" 20 million, and a big part of those 20 million who had no chance to buy the console this year can buy Switch in 2018, so less sales in 2017 could mean more sales in 2017. let's say 2018/2017 both were a 20 million year. If they only ship 15 million, the other 5 million can switch to 2018, and you have 25 million.

Btw this is only an example, but you can understand how 25-30 million next year really doesn't look that much when the only reason they won't ship/sell 20 million in 2017 is because of stock issue.


  • +9
leyendax69 (on 12 November 2017)

You disappoint me Bralod, downvoted for doubting Nintendo


  • +3
Flilix (on 12 November 2017)

Never underestimate the power of Nintendo. :-P


  • +2
BraLoD (on 12 November 2017)

I'm not doubting Nintendo, leyenda, I even said they should increase the production to those levels gradually if that was the case, I just see no logic in already planning to boost it so much, as I said, they are asking things to backfire, why would they do that? Even if they have an extremely good year sellihg around 20M units those massive stocks will not be a good thing to the system, like what happened with MS shipping 6 months worth of XBO expecting it to completely explode during the holidays, and then just stopping to release data on the thing, because it got sitting for half an year in stock.


  • 0