DFC: PlayStation 4 and Xbox One Will Both Top 100 Million by 2020 - News
by William D'Angelo , posted on 11 February 2014 / 10,952 Views
DFC Intelligence researchers have made a bold prediction. The Wii is the only seventh generation home console to sell 100 million units. DFC has reported to GamesIndustry International that the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One will sell more than 100 million units each by 2020. This would be the first time in gaming history that two home consoles have sold more than 100 million units.
The PlayStation 4 is expected to outsell the Xbox One lifetime due to its cheaper price and popularity in Europe. The PlayStation 4 could also become the lead platform for developers in the Western markets, as well as Japan.
DFC Intelligence is also forecasting worldwide video game revenue to increase to $77 billion in 2014. This up from $68 billion in 2013. The gaming industry is expected to continue to grow and be near $100 billion by 2018.
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Without Europe and Japan XB1 will never hit 100 million. Sad, but true.
why is it sad? A console should be spread out and sell on its own merits rather than national loyalty.
No way, I think XBone will be lucky to hit 80 million.
We'll all be laughing at this prediction years from now. PS4 is the only console that even stands a chance at selling 100 million.
If Xbox One makes it to 100 million by 2020 PS4 should be there by 2018 or even earlier. I don't think Xbox One will make it to 100 million though.
This is delusional. No console of this generation will reach 100 million units sold. PS4 may reach 80-90 million in 6/7 years, but with the lack of interest of the general public with gaming dedicated devices, this generation will see lower sales, as it has been happening since 2010
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA, ok PS4, for me sold even 110/120 milion, but X1 sold 100 milion is IMPOSSIBLE, maximum 50 milion...will stand in the middle to XBOX and XBOX 360.
PS4 will be the only one. the xbone has zero chance
Cant see the X1 selling 100 million. PS4 is dominating here. I dont know anyone with an X1.
Maybe PS4 but no sign that XB1 would break 100M.
There's just one thing that they haven't learned yet despite predicting that the WII would be the only console to hit 100 million and it could be that they don't know that this generation is a DECLINE therefore the only console that stands a chance to even sell a 100 million is the PS4 even factoring in the 10 year long generation.
Every new generation sold cca. 25 percent more than previous generation. Gamecube times included. 100 m should be no problem for ps4, everybody knows that. I'm sure Sony is expecting smth closer to 150m, actualy. These analysts are funny. some douchy white-noses from the office are telling us gamers what's gonna be popular lol.
I hope that we will see PS5 by 2018.
The article should be corrected, I believe. It should clarify that it would be "the first time that two home consoles have sold more than 100 million units"but in the same generation.
what makes people so sure about this not happening just after 2 months of launching (of both consoles). In all honesty anything and I mean anything could happen between now and 2020 and this will come down to games, possible price reductions, marketing, financial health of the parent company etc etc. I remember the x360 and ps3 launch where people just like some of the above were saying the PS3 will end up with 100m plus and the 360 would be a repeat pf the original xbox - at a poultry 25million. Did that happen just because they said so, or that they were hopeful of it happening?? No..Just look what happened there - almost a tie at 80m. sorry I need a little more convincing than that :)
PS: the whole without Europe and Japan arguement was around for the 360 vs ps3 era too. Again, what was the end result?? TBH Japan is becoming a non factor in console gamaing. It is not 2002 when this did matter. The market for non handheld consoles has shrunk significantly. Demographics plays a big part in this: aging population etc etc
what makes people so sure about this not happening just after 2 months of launching (of both consoles). In all honesty anything and I mean anything could happen between now and 2020 and this will come down to games, possible price reductions, marketing, financial health of the parent company etc etc. I remember the x360 and ps3 launch where people just like some of the above were saying the PS3 will end up with 100m plus and the 360 would be a repeat pf the original xbox - at a poultry 25million. Did that happen just because they said so, or that they were hopeful of it happening?? No..Just look what happened there - almost a tie at 80m. sorry I need a little more convincing than that :)
PS: the whole without Europe and Japan arguement was around for the 360 vs ps3 era too. Again, what was the end result?? TBH Japan is becoming a non factor in console gamaing. It is not 2002 when this did matter. The market for non handheld consoles has shrunk significantly. Demographics plays a big part in this: aging population etc etc
There's enough of a market for both to achieve it.
What I don't think any of you guys are considering is that China is about to allow consoles in their country. China has a billion "+" households. If they only get 10% of that those numbers in the article will be more than right.
As of year 2020, my XB1 sales estimate : 47.5 to 73.3 million
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178350&page=1#
and i thought we were going back to be a niche pastime
Wedbush forecast 45.2 million PS4 and 32.6 million xbox' by the end of 2016. http://www.dualshockers.com/2014/02/12/wedbush-predicts-12-million-ps4-sold-this-year-9-million-xbox-one-3-million-wii-u/
These guys must have gone to the Pachter School of Video Game Predictionisation. 100 million apeice? Lol. I don't think either will. Meanwhile more serious analysts have been predicting a shrinking of the home console market. I guess we'll see who's right. Though technically if PS4bone sells 200 million and Wii U bombs terribly (like Gamecube terrible) then that will actually be a shrink in the home console market. So I guess it's possible for both to be true.
Dude, you give good analysis, but try to have less verbal diarrhoea while you're doing it.
