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Sony Ships 6.5m PS3s in Q4 11', To Lose $2.9b in FY, Lowers PS3 FCST - News

by VGChartz Staff , posted on 02 February 2012 / 7,820 Views

Results for Sony's October-December 2011 business have arrived. Sony had announced at its half year financial briefing that the company had lost 42.5b Yen ($558m) from April to September 2011 on revenues of 3.06T Yen ($40.2b) . Through December 2011, Sony announced that nine-month revenues came to 4.89T Yen ($64.25b) with a loss of 201.5b Yen ($2.65b). Quarterly losses were 159b Yen ($2.038b), on revenue of 1.82T Yen ($23.370b) - revenue was down 17% year over year. Sony's most recent expectation for the year to March 2012 was for 6.5T Yen ($85.4b) in revenue with a 90b Yen ($1.18b) loss. With the December data now available Sony now expects to generate 6.4T Yen ($84.1b) in revenue with a loss of 220b Yen ($2.88b loss) for the year.

During the December quarter, Sony shipped 6.5m PS3s, 0.5m Vitas (reported previously), 2.4m PSPs, and 0.9m PS2s. From January to December 2011, Sony shipped 14.1m PS3s, 7.6m PSPs, 4.7m PS2s, and 0.5m Vitas. Lifetime to date shipments through December 2011 stand at 0.5m for Vita, 62m for PS3, 75.4m for PSP, and 154.4m for PS2.

Sony previously projected to ship 15m PS3s, 6m PSPs, and 4m PS2s. The company now expects only 14m PS3s. No change was announced for the other forecasts, although PSP will probably come in around 7m for the fiscal year.

Software shipments for Sony's platforms were also revealed for the quarter. PS3 software shipments were 66.2m in the December quarter, easily the biggest Sony platform at the moment. In the same quarter, PSP software shipments were 11.4m, while PS2 software shipments were 2.5m. No Vita software shipment figures were given.

Lifetime to date software shipments now stand at 568m for PS3, 323.7m for PSP, 1536m for PS2. During January to December 2011, PS3 software shipments were 159.6m, PSP software shipments were 36m, PS2 software shipments were 8.9m. Sony had projected software shipments to reach "about the same" volume as the 210m games shipped in the March 2011 year for the March 2012 year. The forecast was not changed.

Looking at the PS3, PSP, and PS2 data from 2010-2011, it is pretty clear why Vita arrived - the company is facing considerable pressure to keep PS3 hardware and software rates strong as PSP and PS2 rapidly decline. The PS3 will see a software decline soon too, going by its purchasing rate fall off per average user. This is also the second year in a row Sony will miss its 15m PS3 projection, coming in at ~14m both years despite Move and a price cut. The all time 12-month high for PS3 remains 14.6m in the year to September 2010 after the price cut to $300, the Slim, and at the start of the Move launch.

Below, SW is total software shipped in the calendar year, HW is total hardware shipped in the calendar year, and Purchase is the average number of games purchased per user (calendar year SW shipments / total hardware at year end).

SW  /  HW  / Purchase                     2011                                                           2010

PS3                                     159.6m / 14.1m /  2.57                                 147m / 14.4m / 3.07

PSP                                    36.0m / 7.6m   / 0.48                                      44.8m / 7.7m / 0.66

PS2                                     8.9m  / 4.7m  /  0.06                                       18.9m / 6.9m / 0.13

Vita                                   (???)  / 0.5m /  ???                                      ---------------------------

Total                              204.5m+ / 26.9m? / ~0.70                              210.7m / 29.0m / 0.79

Vita is really the key here going forward in the next 18 months. PS3 purchasing rates should be at about 1.8 - 2.2 games per user in 2012. That should be the last strong year for PS3 now that Sony has exhausted most of its hardware lifting mechanisms (PS3 increased by 3% in the 2011 holiday quarter, despite a 17% price cut in August, with further cuts by retail throughout the holidays - $200 with a game at US retail, and despite plenty of major games). We also know a major price cut isn't coming to revive PS3 either when Sony is going to post a $2b+ loss, its fourth straight annual loss in four years.

If Vita does not take off as a software market in 2012 - and 3DS only was about a 40m market in 2011 with huge hardware sales, Sony could be looking at a 2012 where PS3 is a 150m market, PSP is a 20-25m market, PS2 is a 5m market, and Vita is anything from a 15-30m market or possibly worse - Sony isn't even giving Vita software figures (although that is partly due to the digital nature of the platform).

The total software figures won't be bad for 2012, compared to where Sony has been in its PS3 era, but when the PS3 purchasing rate falls to 1.2 - 1.7 games per user in 2013, Sony could be looking at a bad situation based on the Vita trajectory: PS3 (110-125m), Vita (30-40m), PSP (15m), PS2 (2m) - and those are bad figures. If that is the case, PS4 will need to arrive to offset the three declining platforms - and that's why PS4 should be expected within 18 months or so, even though it won't reverse the coming decline immediately. This is particularly true if X720 / Wii U are established by late 2013 already - new platforms typically cause purchasing rates on older platforms to deflate rather quickly - the biggest single year drop for PS1 was when PS2 released, the biggest drop for PS2 was when Wii / PS3 released.

Contact VGChartz at jmazel@vgchartz.com


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27 Comments
Ail (on 02 February 2012)

Ail here, sorry for the delay I just woke up !
Really poor results from Sony too.
Kinda surprised with the adjustment for PS3...
This does not look good for Sony, only positive thing is that they are actually going to do something about it by changing CEO next quarter, hopefully Kaz will have a better track record than Sir Howard...

  • +3
happydolphin Ail (on 02 February 2012)

I thumbed you up ;)

  • -3
TheSource Ail (on 02 February 2012)

Howard did a decent job honestly - took some balls to cut 16,000 people a few years ago.

  • -1
Tridrakious Ail (on 02 February 2012)

I believe Kaz will do a good job. Whether or not he can work his magic on the entire company, that will be difficult.

Sony needs some fire. Some passion again and Kaz could very well do that. I hope. Howard Stringer screwed this company. I wonder what would have happened if a PlayStation guy would have changed the fate of this company back in 2005.

  • +1
Wh1pL4shL1ve_007 (on 02 February 2012)

Aww man , A much as I love Microsoft and its Xbox, I feel bad for this company right now.

  • +3
ManusJustus (on 03 February 2012)

I hope Sony can turn things around soon (from an XBox fanboy).

  • +1
Ail (on 02 February 2012)

For those still doubting, with these results and the change of CEO at Sony there is no way Sony will release a PS4 in 2012, they can't afford it and Kaz can't afford to deliver worse results in 2012 ( which a new console release would do)

  • +1
happydolphin (on 02 February 2012)

Ail, Sony's PS3 projections won't be met. Where are you I wonder? One can say Nintendo fails to meet its projections, but it's facepalming when you're not there when the same occurs for Sony.

@Jacob, I found the last 3 paragraphs the most interesting, especially the 3rd to last.

  • +1
Aprisaiden (on 02 February 2012)

Ouch -- i think its worth noting that SONY lost 113.4 billion Yen based off the strength of the yen vs. the dollar and euro. SONY really need to find a way to move away from the Yen.

  • +1
BlkPaladin Aprisaiden (on 02 February 2012)

The only way to do that is to move the headquarters out of Japan. Because the loses come from "repatriating" its cut of the money that has been made abroad.

  • 0
binary solo (on 03 February 2012)

$84bn in annual revenue and they still make a loss. There's some serously bad management going on at Sony. And there's got to be some serious fat that they can trim. I certainly hope some of that excess spending has gone into RnD for some useful products. Just ridiculous. And somehow I don;t think Vita is going to set the world on fire. If 3DS with its 3D gimmick failed at launch until there was a drastic price cut I don't see how Vita, with way less mindshare than the DS brand, is going to se the world alight.

I also don't see how Sony's gaming products have a hope in hell of being what turns around Sony's flagging fortunes and they shouldn't be expected to either. We like to think brand PS is Sony's meat and potatoes, but really it should only ever be the gravy, or the desert. Hence I'm not sure about why this article suggests Sony as a whole should hit the panic button if PS3 performance falls away somewhat and Vita doesn't blast into the stratosphere. If Sony are really reliant on those 2 products to get back in black then they are in very deep shit.

  • 0
dsage01 (on 02 February 2012)

Well lets not forget what happened to Apple a while back and people thought there would be no recovery for the company. But seriously look at what happened now to the very same company that people thought was dead 15 years ago... Now Sony is facing the same problem and now with refining innovation in technology and ideas that will please the consumer market Sony can be the company it once was from the 70's to the late 90's. Every company has its downfall Sony is having its right now I understand it's slightly larger than other companies but if Sony makes the right decisions in the future Sony can once again be a profitable company as Apple and Microsoft is now.

  • 0
VGKing (on 02 February 2012)

Vita will take off. I just know it!

  • 0
Kangi VGKing (on 02 February 2012)

Yeah! The somewhat unlikely situation of Vita reaching any type of modest success will fix the company and the billions they're bleeding!

  • -1
Cheebee (on 02 February 2012)

That's harsh.

  • 0
sales2099 (on 02 February 2012)

wow

  • -4
iron_megalith (on 02 February 2012)

gg

  • -7
happydolphin iron_megalith (on 02 February 2012)

No re?

  • -3
fauzman (on 02 February 2012)

Wow! Doom and gloom all round. Sony will be fine. I have no doubt the PSV will sell tons in Europe/NA and there are rumours of Monster Hunter on PSV which if true will help sales in Japan.

  • -7
Kynes fauzman (on 02 February 2012)

A great example of delusion.

  • +10
reviniente fauzman (on 02 February 2012)

Or heavy use of crack cocaine. Easy on the pipe, son.

  • +4
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BlkPaladin kowenicki (on 02 February 2012)

I would have to agree with that. This is the problem with promoting from within, they are more likely to carry on the path that is causing them to loose so much money. That is why some companies when things are like this gets a person from the outside, who will look at things a lot differently and cut where it needs to since they have no attachment to the projects that need to be cut.

  • 0
Tridrakious kowenicki (on 02 February 2012)

I believe in Kaz. Everything he has touched has become successful. Under his leadership the PS3 became a force to be reckoned with this gen. The Vita is a very promising and full of potential.

  • -1
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