17mil is possible I think. 15mil minimum.

Damn 3.45mil is crazy insane. Splatoon 3 might dominate Japan for a long while and maybe become the best selling switch game over there.

Dangit I thought the poll was Japan lifetime sales, so I put less than 8 million haha.
Globally I think it'll pass Splatoon 2, which itself should eventually creep past 15m. So I'll say 15.5 - 16.9m.

Obviously, Splatoon 3 is going to see significant growth in Japan. The real question at this point is how much, if any, of that will translate to worldwide growth. I personally think Splatoon 3 is going to grow somewhat worldwide too. I voted 18.5-20m for sales.

Meh still think it’ll be about the same as the previous game. Perhaps a wee bit more. Splatoon hasn’t really proven itself to be an evergreen on the level of the top Switch games so I’m assuming this one as well to be mildly frontloaded.

Bonus: I’ve never played any Splatoon.

I'm going with 17-18 as its still a bit early, want to see its legs but wouldnt put 20+ our of the question.

Strange they haven't updated or shared the sales numbers for other regions (I think... maybe they don't normally update until it hits 10 million?). I wonder how it did in the U.S. and Europe. I know one person IRL who bought it besides me and know around 10 people with a switch.

Anyway, I voted for 14-15.4 million because I expect the legs to be cut short by a new system announcement next year, to be released in 2024.

I've been underpredicting everything Nintendo related since I signed up, and I've been wrong every time.
so I am going to go with a very optimistic 22 million this time.

I want to see this being an underprediction.