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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will PS3 WW sales ever stop dropping?

 WiiPS3360
SalesMarketshareSalesMarketshareSalesMarketshare
3/25/07201,00123.73%567,99867.06%77,9509.20%846,949
4/1/07163,60542.45%146,94138.12%74,90519.43%385,451
4/8/07169,05449.21%106,03630.87%68,42219.92%343,512
4/15/07187,60155.27%85,36525.15%66,47119.58%339,437
4/22/07218,60761.82%70,81620.03%64,18118.15%353,604
4/29/07279,55265.32%66,00515.42%82,41219.26%427,969
5/6/07275,29663.29%68,87415.84%90,77620.87%434,946
5/13/07229,93460.94%55,68314.76%91,71824.31%377,335
5/20/07213,17460.61%50,40214.33%88,14325.06%351,719
5/27/07213,28562.54%47,04813.80%80,68423.66%341,017
6/3/07235,31064.10%43,39811.82%88,36624.07%367,074

 

Now that the other regions data is up we can get another WW weekly sales update.

These numbers are starting at PS3 Europe launch. Look how the PS3 numbers keep declining WW but Wii/360 numbers stay the same or raise.

How low can they go?

I feel we are not at the bottom yet because we keep trending down every week.



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obviously they won't keep dropping for ever. There will be spikes around Christmas and new game releases. I think we'll see a large (comparitively) spike around GTAIV, which would then grow for Christmas. Then I expect it to drop down again to similar levels next year (slightly higher though)

that's my pure un backed-up guesswork.



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this kinda sounds like trolling. what, do you actually think sony's just gonna fade away? hell, 2 flops in a row and N manage to pull through.



vizunary said:
this kinda sounds like trolling. what, do you actually think sony's just gonna fade away? hell, 2 flops in a row and N manage to pull through.

 The difference is, even with their consoles flopping, Nintendo always managed to make a profit on them.



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

vizunary said:
this kinda sounds like trolling. what, do you actually think sony's just gonna fade away? hell, 2 flops in a row and N manage to pull through.

First of all Nintendo has always made a profit on gaming. The N64 and Gamecube made them money, and even during those "dark days" they had the Gameboy and GBA to fill their profits. The American charts don't go that far back anymore, but Nintendo almost continuously had more than one third of all gaming devices sold, even in the years of the Playstation's greatest dominance.

Secondly, Nintendo is all about gaming while Sony is a huge and varied corporation. No matter how badly their games would do, Nintendo will never leave gaming. Where else would they go? Sony on the other hand is run by rich old guys in suits who've never played a game in their life, and there are definitely many amongst them who view the gaming division as a liability that keeps hurting their income. If things don't start looking better within a year, there is a serious chance they'll pull the plug on the Playstation 3, or even the Playstation brand as a whole. 

I keep typing the same thing in every second thread I see. I should start my own for this stuff. =P



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Not really trolling, an interesting set of numbers. Slightly biased since of course PS3 numbers have fallen since a highly successful PAL launch, but not very biased because the fall is dramatic and continuing.

And vizunary: the thread title is about PS3, not Sony gaming in general. You brought that up.

And of course sales will go up at Christmas, nobody thinks otherwise.



Just going to ramble a bit here to justify the 3rd prediction in my sig, in case anyone cares:

Currently, the PS3 has sold 3.37 million consoles. Let's say that in the last 6 weeks of 2007 (holiday season), the PS3 manages to sell a good 1.5 million units (check TheSource's thread on December sales, he predicted 1.2 million units for December alone).

If we hypothetically assume Sony has sold 6.5 million units by the end of the year, that leaves us with 1.63 million units between now and the holiday period. The current sales numbers are until week 22 of 2007, which means 24 weeks until the holidays start. That gives us an average of ~68k PS3 sold per week in non-holiday period. The PS3 now stands at 43k per week. Can it really do 68k in its average week from here till the holidays? I don't think so.

Conclusion: I wouldn't be surprised if the PS3 stood between 6 and 6.5 million by the end of the year. But I would be very surprised if it did much more than 7 million...



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

OK that chart thing was very confusing. The ps3 is not selling well, everyone knows that. The Wii is still out of stock in most places.



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NJ5 said:

Just going to ramble a bit here to justify the 3rd prediction in my sig, in case anyone cares:

Currently, the PS3 has sold 3.37 million consoles. Let's say that in the last 6 weeks of 2007 (holiday season), the PS3 manages to sell a good 1.5 million units (check TheSource's thread on December sales, he predicted 1.2 million units for December alone).

If we hypothetically assume Sony has sold 6.5 million units by the end of the year, that leaves us with 1.63 million units between now and the holiday period. We're in week 22 of 2007, which means 24 weeks until the holidays start. That gives us an average of ~68k PS3 sold per week in non-holiday period. The PS3 now stands at 43k per week. Can it really do 68k in its average week from here till the holidays? I don't think so.

Conclusion: I wouldn't be surprised if the PS3 stood between 6 and 6.5 million by the end of the year. But I would be very surprised if it did much more than 7 million...


That's some decent math your showing. I think the current slump is all due to the fact that the games aren't 'there' yet. Plus it doesn't help that Nintendo has about 50/60 percent control over the market with their sales still sky rocketing. I hope for Sony's sake that they'll have a good holiday season, but I fear the most. Maybe Sony can become a gamedeveloper for Nintendo or MS..  :P



Next week will probably be the lowest for a few weeks, as Folk Soul launches soon in Japan, NGS, and others should keep Japan from hemmoraging anymore.

For the US/Europe, it should be enough between the various small titles to keep the US/Europe sales around 32.5k to 35k but not much lower.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.