Pachter: PS4 Will be Top Seller in the US in December, Xbox One Close Behind - News
by William D'Angelo , posted on 01 January 2018 / 5,825 Views
Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter has predicted the PlayStation 4 will be the number one selling console in the US in December.
"You know, I’d say that Sony will sell more PS4s in November and December in the US, but not by a ton, I think Xbox will be close," Pachter told GamingBolt.
"I think Switch is not supply constrained, but you know, it looks like PS4 outsold Switch by a healthy margin, and the Xbox as well. In December, I think PS4 wins again – I don’t think Nintendo has the capacity to ship that many units.
"Sony meanwhile can sell 3, 4, 5 million consoles in December alone. And I don’t think Switch will sell below 3 million, I think that’s impossible, I don’t think Nintendo would ship that few."
Pachter added that despite the price of the Xbox One X and the limited supply, the $189 Xbox One S is a deal that works in Microsoft's favor.
"Xbox, the problem is the Xbox One X is expensive and in tight supply," he added. "The Xbox One S is remaining discounted at $189, which I think works in its favour. If I am buying the first console for my household, it’s hard for me to justify buying a Switch for $300 plus two games for $120, when I can buy an Xbox One S for $189, and two older games for cheaper, and walk out the door for $250.
"It’s a significantly lower entry point. I just don’t know how I can tell someone with a straight face, ‘your 8 year old boy needs a $300 Switch with Mario and Zelda’; that’s a lot of money."
A life-long and avid gamer, William D'Angelo was first introduced to VGChartz in 2007. After years of supporting the site, he was brought on in 2010 as a junior analyst, working his way up to lead analyst in 2012. He has expanded his involvement in the gaming community by producing content on his own YouTube channel and Twitch channel dedicated to gaming Let's Plays and tutorials. You can contact the author at wdangelo@vgchartz.com or on Twitter @TrunksWD.
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I've never piled on this guy before but when he said "it’s hard for me to justify buying a Switch for $300 plus two games for $120, when I can buy an Xbox One S for $189, and two older games for cheaper, and walk out the door for $250."...he lost me.
It's clear now that he doesn't know a damn thing about the industry or its consumers.
I actually had this argument in my head and its not wrong. I bought a console for my 2 nephews this Christmas on black friday, was looking at the switch, but because they are 2 i didn't want to since you really need 2 and the pads are really expensive.
So i was planning on getting a PS4, but the Xbox one was 800kr (about $96) less than the PS4 with rocket league to boot so i bought it. They already have my old 360 as well so all those games will work on the xbox one. All in all i paid about 3000kr for a xbox one (new) 8 games (2 new 6 used) and a pad 1 month game pass 3 month xbox live. A PS4 without anything costs 2600kr.
I think for a guy looking at gaming from the outside, they will come to same decision i did most of the time.
The ridiculousness lies in the thinking that Zelda, Mario, Halo and Uncharted are interchangeable. They aren't. That's why his argument is stupid. If someone wants Zelda and Mario games, they're not going to buy an Xbox One just because it's cheaper. They're either going to pay the higher price, or just save until they have the money to do so. Patcher false to grasp this very simple concept.
Not only that the Switch is portable. You can justify it to parent by saying "would you like your child to be able to the console with them and play games?".
I am not sure whether Xbox will be second, but PS4 should be a safe bet for the first place.
I picture him giving this interview while eating Lucky Charms on the toilet.
Does anyone actually like Pachter, or take his guess work seriously? '3, 4 ,5 million' ... I needn't say more. I bet Switch will sell between 0-100m consoles during the month of December. Can i be an analyst too? :)
Mr. Pachter I would like to ask you something:
Which two XB1 games should I get for my 8 year old boy?
Is that a blue dildo behind him on his right? Never mind. That's link sword.
What's Pachter's track record?
I think he is close to being right, in the positions (1° PS4, 2° NS, 3° XBX), but wrong with the numbers...
"Sony meanwhile can sell 3, 4, 5 million consoles in December alone. And I don’t think Switch will sell below 3 million, I think that’s impossible, I don’t think Nintendo would ship that few."
Has anyone ever sold that many units (as in 3-5 million units) in US in December alone? Like his lower limit for both PS4 and Switch (3 million) and his upper limit for PS4 (5 million) for US seems to be way too high. Those numbers I think would be applicable to worldwide sales (US + all other countries) for December not US alone.
It means Switch will be top seller in December.
PS4 outsold Switch by 2:1 in the US in November. I dont think Switch has the ammount of selling power this holiday as many thought it would.
Black Friday is driven by discounts while Christmas is mostly related to wishes. I don't think the Switch will be first but no way the PS4 will outsell it 2:1 in December.
Dialga
PS4 won due to the 199 deal that was available in Nov. Since that is now off the table, I think it is a coin toss.
MS will be dead last.
So switch>Xbox>PS4 then.
How so?
He was obviously joking...because Pachter is always wrong. Which sadly isn’t true either.
XB1 outsells PS4 in December CONFIRMED!
How does this guy still has a job? XD
I hope Pachter talk about WW sales when he say PS4 can sell between 3-5 million, because there is absolutely no way this happen in USA alone.
Not surprising. Pretty safe bet.
Ok, all I want to know is...DAMN! Who on god's earth is buying all those PS4 consoles??? I'm not even kidding anymore. Why is this console SO popular??? I'm the biggest PS guy, no doubt but even I'm curious about this. Switch who??? PS4 is killing it and there's like no stopping it, no matter what! I don't think a console will ever be able to top this level of impact. I swear this is totally going to rival PS2 numbers.
'I think the Switch is not supply constrained, but...I don't think Nintendo has the capacity to ship that many units.' Unless Nintendo has their own delivery cargo ships, this makes opposite sense.
Switch > PS4 > Xbox one. I know we are talking only USA. Xbox one isn't selling anywhere else but USA and UK. Switch will win everywhere if they can ship enough discount or not. Xbox one might come out ahead of PS4 in USA but i doubt it with the crazy deals sony had this holiday but he is off on the Switch prediction it will come out ahead period.
So Switch wins it and PS4 is dead last, gotcha.
