Xbox Live Arcade Sales - First Day & Weekend Preview, 8/07/08 - News
by VGChartz Staff , posted on 07 August 2008 / 4,323 Views
8/07/08
By Benjamin Schlichter (BenSchlichter@Gmail.com)
Week #2 of Microsoft's "Summer of Arcade" is continuing to show healthy returns, as Braid is looking to easily clear 20,000 units sold for it's first week on market.
Braid is projecting to sell around 22,000 units by Saturday, which would put it at no less than #5 on the Best First Week list. However, with the projections being so close, it's certainly possible that Braid will beat the projections (Geometry Wars 2 did, by 10%), and leapfrog 'Ikaruga' and 'Soul Calibur' to secure a #2 spot on the list. Very impressive for a $15 game.
Also, one should note about first day sales: I don't weight them. Because of this, games have a tendancy to be undertracked for their first 2 weeks on market. I know that leaderboard wise, Braid has already passed the 10,000 mark. I don't weight them because after 2 weeks, things tend to work themselves out, and I want to ensure every game gets treated the same way on the charts. So if 7.7k sounds low, don't worry about it :)
Not to be outdone by the new GOTY contender, Geometry Wars 2 is continuing to sell incredibly well. It has already secured another 46,000 units in sales, and looks to push the 60,000 weekly sales mark, increasing Geometry Wars 2's already blistering pace of sales. If it can pass 99,831 units, it will have passed 'Rez HD' in securing the #2 spot for Best First Month in 2 weeks, leaving only 'Yaris', a free game, as a better seller. Even then, Yaris might not be secure, as Geometry Wars 2 has 3 weeks left to clear the 243,000-odd units that Yaris sold.
1942: Joint Strike has had an incredible 3rd week thus far. Although it is projected to only drop by 50%, and secure 3rd place on the week with over 8,000 units. This is very impressive given the fact that most SHMUPs have seen 70% drops in their 3rd week. This would put 1942 at just over 40,000 units with 3 weeks on the market. It should wind up no less than #10 on the Best First Month list (above Penny Arcade Adventures), and could even beat out Wolf of the Battlefield, if it can manage above 4,500 units sold per week.
And finally, Golf: Tee it Up! will end it's first month (along with Schizoid) this weekend. It's had a more respectible drop this week, as it should secure an extra 3,000 units to finish it's month run around 38,000 units. Schizoid is charting to wind up with a little above 13,000 units for it's first month.
| Game | Actual Sales | Projected Wk Sales | Cost | Tracking Period |
| Geometry Wars Evolved | 46,106 | 59,938 | $10.00 | 5-Day |
| Braid | 7,706 | 22,037 | $15.00 | 1-Day |
| 1942: Joint Strike | 6,478 | 8,421 | $10.00 | 5-Day |
| Golf: Tee it Up! | 2,268 | 2,948 | $10.00 | 5-Day |
| Schizoid | 876 | 1,139 | $10.00 | 5-Day |
Next Week: Bionic Commando at 800 MSP
Pretty excited to see this one chart. It's an entirely re-done game with all of the neat Arcade trimmings. I expect this one to debut with similar, if not better, sales than what Braid has had, as there's a moderate amouunt of hype behind it. Thus far, I think the Summer of Arcade has done great things to help the 5 games debuting, to get more sales than normal.
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Gotta love Braid. I just played the demo, because i bought catan last week and a movie this week. As soon as the price is reduced, i wil get it for sure. It is a great game, one of the best on Arcade
Fable 2 Pub Games will also be available next week.
@ anyone with doubts about Braid being worth the 15 bucks, just get it - you'll thank yourself in the long run.
I was a skeptic at first, but now I'm a believer.
I would've bought Braid at $10. I just couldn't pull the trigger at $15 since I just bought Geo Wars and I know Galaga's coming soon. Too many MS points going out, not enough cash coming in.
MS was smart to price Braid at $15 instead of $10. It's not a well known game so most of the casual GW2-buying types wouldn't get it at either price, it's also a bit too difficult and artsy for the casual crowd.
But since Braid has around a 90 Metascore and good word of mouth, it will sell well among those who follow these things more closely. After all, $15 for a 90 Metascore game (new) is a pretty good deal.
The demo of Braid looks good, but i'll probably save my points for Bionic Commando. If it get reduce I will buy it.
Geometry Wars 2 is so damn addictive, I wish it was not so easy to start a new game when you die on Pacifism, I can't turnit off.
It remains to be seen, but I think MS was wrong on this pricing. They were worried about the 'Space Giraffe' effect where no one would buy Braid and so upped the price, but I think the previews and word of mouth would be exponentially better for Braid than Space Giraffe and the higher pricing actually dampened sales. People also might be slight aggravated since the game lasts a few hours only, mind-blowing as it may be.
